Belmont Day Thoughts

I've made it no secret that I don't like Big Brown going into the Belmont Stakes today. Earlier in the week a friend of mine said that the horse is going against bad hoofs, missed training days and 30 years of history... I tend to agree.

That being said, the loss of Casino Drive certainly does make Big Brown's quest a little easier. However, I think it's entirely possible for Macho Again, Anak Nakal, Denis of Cork and Tale of Ekati to all play the role of spoiler. I also like Guadalcanal under in exotics and will play him accordingly.

I think the Manhattan and Woody Stephens are wide open, and that for the sake of cost of a ticket you can go real deep in those legs after you single both Big Brown and Indian Blessing and hope for the best (my partner and I did the same thing on Preakness Day with Big Brown and Lantana Mob and cashed for $600). However, most of my plays for he day will be Pick 3s around Indian Blessing. In the Belmont race itself, I won't be playing Big Brown on top in any of my tickets and will attempt to play a Pick Four beating him, while not going quite as deep in the other legs.